Friday, October 17, 2008

Late Week Wisdom

After a rough week, I'm ready for the weekend and some football. I'd call my start/sit, just average last week. Colston was looking good to play, but they kept him out at the last minute. Manning came out of nowhere to destroy BAL too. IND's offense looks like it's back on track, despite the recent injury to Joseph Addai. By the way, grab Dominic Rhodes if he's available and maybe even start him this week. Ok, let's get on with the picks for this week. Just a reminder, my picks are guys that might not be obvious choices on either side of the coin. I don't need to tell you to start Adrian Peterson or sit Larry Johnson (he's suspended by the way).

Start

Trent Edwards QB BUF - Before the concussion, he was playing really well. He's practiced all week and all signs point to him starting vs SD this week. SD can be beaten through the air and if BUF's O-Line can give Edwards time, he should be able to hook up deep for Lee Evans a few times. I'm also thinking they might need to throw to keep up with SD. ( 275 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT)

Mewelde Moore RB PIT - This was supposed to be Willie Parker's return to the field after sitting out a few weeks with a bad knee. Well, after stepping in a hole on Wednesday at practice (don't they have a grounds keeper?) it's looking like Parker will be out on Sunday. Look for Moore to get the majority of the work and put up decent stats vs an awful CIN D. (115 combined yards, 1 TD)

Chris Johnson RB TEN - Another guy coming off of a bye (notice a trend here) that has a good match up. TEN gets KC and you know they want to pound the ball with Johnson and White. I still like White to get the goal line carries, but I think Johnson will bust off a few big runs. (135 combined yards, 1 TD)

Marques Colston WR NO - Let's try this again. I'm very confident Colston will suit up for NO this week in a must win game in CAR. They held him out last week in a game they easily won. I think Drew Brees goes to him early and often to get him back into a rhythm. With any of these injured guys, make sure you check the wire on Sunday, but if he's in their lineup make sure he's in your lineup. (75 yards, 1 TD)

Santonio Holmes WR PIT - Holmes has only found the end zone once this year, but that should change on Sunday. With Parker likely out, I look for PIT to establish the run with Moore and then run some play action to free up Holmes deep. I think this is his break out game ala Braylon Edwards or Andre Johnson. (125 yards, 2 TDs)

Sit

Jason Campbell QB WAS - Campbell has played really well this year. He's shown the ability to run the Jim Zorn offense to perfection. This week could be a challenge though. CLE has an underrated secondary and I think WAS runs Clinton Portis all day. He's not a bad start, but I don't see big numbers. (145 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT)

Ronnie Brown RB MIA - Another guy that has really exceeded expectations this year. Thanks to a healthy Ricky Williams and the new Wildcat formation, MIA has really tried to get Ronnie the ball in many different ways. Most of those have worked well, but this week vs BAL could be a different story. Again, look for modest totals from the Dolphin RB. (65 yards, 0 TDs)

Reggie Bush RB NO - It sounds like he'll be fine for Sunday after missing a few practices this week, but going up against CAR's D might be more worrisome. He should catch a few passes, but he won't get 20 plus carries on the ground. With bye weeks and all the injuries, you probably can't sit him, but again temper your expectations. (80 combined yards, 0 TDs)

Dwayne Bowe WR KC - Here's a recipe for disaster: No Larry Johnson, a bad QB, an unhappy TE that doesn't want to be in KC and you're facing the best defense in the league. That's what's facing Bowe this week. I don't see KC scoring more than 3 pts this week and for sure not lighting up the score board through the air. (35 yards, 0 TDs)

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