Busts

To follow up last week's article on sleepers, I wanted to give you a few names to look at for potential busts this fantasy season. These guys will still probably have fine years, but the cause for concern comes from where you'll need to draft them in order to get them on your team. The draft is all about value and these guys won't come close to giving you as much value as others this year. Most of these guys had career years last year and history shows us to expect some kind of decline the year after.

Aubrey Huff 1b/3b BAL - The first few names on this list almost came out of nowhere last year to put up huge numbers. Huff is no exception. An afterthought in most drafts, he went on to hit .304 with 32 HRs and 108 RBIs. Those are awesome numbers to find on the waiver wire, the problem is he probably won't last past the middle of the draft this year and if he drops back to his career averages, then you'll be overpaying.

Carlos Delgado 1b NYM - Another veteran that was left for dead heading into 2008, Delgado came through huge for those who took a late round gamble on him last year. His age and injury concern should give you enough pause to let someone else gamble on him repeating last year's success.

Dustin Pedroia 2b BOS - Don't get me wrong, I love almost everything about Pedroia's skills and situation. He's in a great lineup and should have a great year. Again, the problem comes in where you'll have to draft him to get that potential. His amazing MVP season was just that, amazing, but I could see some of those numbers leveling off as the rest of the league adjusts to him. If he falls a round or two, grab him, but I'll pass for now.

Josh Hamilton OF TEX - Another super star in the making, Hamilton exploded last year with eye popping numbers. He slowed down in the 2nd half as some minor injuries began to take their toll. I could see another MVP type season, as well as a HR Derby crown, but with him going toward the end of the first round, he's just a little too risky for me.

Francisco Rodriguez RP NYM - What can you say about KRod? Breaking the save record and then getting paid as he lands in the Big Apple. The expectations will be high and so will the risk. Injury has always been a concern for KRod, but the bigger concern this year will be living up to the hype that comes after breaking a record like that. He should rack up the saves in New York, but I'll take a few safer options before him.

C.C. Sabathia SP NYY - Another free agent that lands in NY, Sabathia couldn't do anything wrong in the 2nd half of last season. He was dominant and nearly untouchable. I see some big wins coming for him in NY, but I also see some higher ratios as well. The AL East won't be as manageable as the NL Central and even though he should win a few more, I could see the rest of his numbers suffering. Proceed with caution.

The next group I'll cover are those guys that might be forgotten this year and hence fall in drafts. They were either hit by the injury bug, had a down year, or just don't get the respect they deserve. I'll call those guys under-the-radar and we'll look at them next time.